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Showing posts with the label capital expenditures

An AI Winter Is Coming: AI Data Center Stock Values Tanking - Part 1

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Stocks of publicly traded companies including Coreweave, META, Microsoft, and Oracle have lost 4% to 39% of their stock market value over the last year. Coreweave's core business is building data centers stocked with GPUs to rent AI service providers for estimation and inference. Obviously, this makes the standard data center look downright capital light. Racks must be populated with servers and GPUs and capable of handling 120Kw power loads. So power infrastructure and backup alone cost many multiples more on a per square meter basis than the standard telecom hotel. Moreover, these data centers must be bigger because a large language model might have trillions of parameters to be estimated. Coreweave's massive debt loads have led to a 37% decline in its market value over the last twelve months.  Secondly, customer switching costs are very low in the AI data center market. AI service providers are software companies. They download their data into the bare metal ...

The Short Life Expectancy of Starlink's LEO Satellites

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According to FCC filings Starlink shut down almost 500 Starlink satellites during the first half of 2025. The company had them reenter the atmosphere where they burned up. What is striking is that these satellites were all less than 5 years old. The general consensus is that LEOs have a life expectancy ranging from 5 to 8 years. Shorter than expected life spans for the satellites will hit Starlink's income statement hard by increasing network depreciation and replacement needs. However, Starlink has managed to lower its LEO's manufacturing costs down to $500K versus initial figures around $1 million. So these production economies of scale might offset some of the higher than expected depreciation. However, there are also rocket launch costs as well. It costs Starlink about $3 million to put a satellite into orbit. The Falcon 9 costs $67 million per flight and delivers 23 LEOs into low Earth orbit. As a private company Starlink financials are a bit of mystery. The company press ...