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AI Cloud Provider Coreweave's 15% Bond Yields Signal Bankruptcy

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Insurance on AI data center provider Coreweave's debt is pricing a 50% chance of bond default during the next 24 months. Current yield on the company's long debt is 15%. AI is a real estate bubble and Coreweave is likely to be the first to crash and burn. Most top notch computer scientists like Turing Prize winner Jan Le Cun view the current generation of AI, large language models, as a hyped technology that is fundamentally flawed. LLMs are statistical models whereas human intelligence can generate universal statements, not just probabilities. Statistical models like LLMs simply extrapolate trends and are not capable of true imagination. In the language of mathematics, anything truly original is orthogonal to the estimated statistical model. This is the true origin of AI slop. See https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-10-14/coreweave-s-brazen-dream-crashes-into-reality-as-yields-top-15?srnd=homepage-asia. 

Thailand ISPs: 10G Terrestrial Bangkok Telehouse/Singapore $9,500 MRC

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Good outage and repair history. Diverse to any subsea cable routes. Enjoys comparable latency to subsea routes. Good standalone solution because repairs have averaged under 15 hours. 

Bifrost 800G Wavelength Record: META & Ciena

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Larger wavelengths reduce overhead loss and result in net usable bandwidth gains. Each 100G wavelength has approximately the same overhead loss as a 800G wavelength so bigger wavelengths reduce the ratio of overhead to data payload. Hence a fibre pair can gnerates more total payload transmission. Moreover, META avoids muxing and demuxing since many of their applications are 400G and 800G. Ciena, of course, wants to sell more expensive and profitable higher performance coherent and DWDM tech. I don't see this announcement as a remarkable breakthrough. It just reaffirms that the initial design capacity of 270 Tbps is achievable. For full details, https://www.ciena.com/insights/blog/2026/ciena-and-meta-achieve-world-record-800-gbs-across-16,608-km-on-transpacific-submarine-cable. 

NeoCloud Firmus IPO Pulled Due To Lack Of Infrastructure Progress

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Firmus wanted to go public valued at $30 billion. How much actual data center capacity does it have booking revenue? 46 Megawatts. About the same power consumption as Vienna's Interxion 2 data center. Now Firmus has contracts for 912 megawatts. But there is no guarantee given supply side chain obstacles that it can meet its obligations. Nor do we know if these 'signed contracts' have any contractual teeth. A good guess is less teeth than grandma. Despite only modest-sized AI data center, Firmus has managed to incur $30 billion in debt and plan to issue more.  For full details, https://thetechcapital.com/firmus-shelves-ipo-valuation-concerns

How The EU Rewards Losers (Eutelsat/Arianespace) In Its LEO Satellite Contracts

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What is amazing is how the EU consistently rewards European companies that failed to anticipate technological change like Eutelsat and Arianespace. Its French executives were too busy with two hour lunches, Bordeaux wines, and crème brûlée to realize that LEO satellites were the future. See the quotes below. ðŸ˜‰ Eutelsat is one of the prime beneficiaries of the IRIS2 project which involves a 330 LEO and 18 MEO constellation that will only cost $18 billion. We all know that Starlink could have done the project for under a billion dollars. A Starlink V3 satellite costs $1.2 million to manufacture and provides 1 terabit download throughput. The point is that the European satellite industry is grossly inefficient. It lacks the economies of scale in production. Hence a Fortress Europe approach to technology is likely to be super expensive. EU procurement often rewards mediocrity because it is trying to create sovereign infrastructure in areas where the Americans dominate and won fair and...

Ooredoo On The March: The FIG Cable & A Purported Iraqi Transit Route To Europe

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Ooredoo is a multinational mobile service provider with operations in Algeria, Tunisia, Palestine, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Iraq, Oman, Maldives, and Indonesia. Its 2025 revenues were $6.4 billion revenues. Like many multinational mobile carriers such as Vodafone and Bharti, Ooredoo is becoming an important subsea cable player. Its first noticeable success was winning the competition to host the 2Africa CLS in Oman. More recently, Ooredoo announced in January 2025 the Fiber In The Gulf (FIG) cable that will link Kuwait, Iraq, Qatar, Bahrain, the UAE, Oman, and Saudi Arabia. Due to the short distances between the countries involved, this 24 fibre pair cable is expected to achieve 720 Tbps or 30 Tbps per pair, a Middle East record. The shorter the distance between DWDM optical nodes, the less optical errors accumulate, and hence the greater the throughput. The higher optical power or intensity required for long subsea spans inevitably creates nonlinear errors or optical distortion th...

The 2028 MVISTA Cable: Likely to Shake Up Southeast Asia

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The 16 fibre pair MVISTA project has the potential to disrupt the cozy world of Southeast Asian telecommunications. The majority shareholder is the Stavian Group, a Vietnamese industrial conglomerate building one of the first carrier neutral data centers in Vietnam. Stavian is a good example of how cash heavy and well established companies are entering the Southeast Asian service provider market in search of their slice of the Good Life. Another example is Keppel, which began life as a builder of offshore rigs after WW2 and today is a very successful asset manager of real estate, infrastructure (power), and connectivity. Companies outside telecommunications are drawn to subsea cables due to the robust connectivity demand in Southeast Asia. This reflects the region's fast growth, but also a fragmented geography. Many countries are islands like Indonesia, New Guinea, Philippines, Singapore or peninsulas like Thailand and Malaysia. The easiest way to build cost effective communication...