Posts

Starlink Consistently Loses Billions - IPO Prospectus Revelations

Image
As the chart shows, Starlink is on track to lose $20 billion this year. These losses largely reflect the struggling xAI division that Musk shotgun merged with Starlink: "SpaceX had a net loss of $4.28 billion on revenue of $4.69 billion for the first quarter, compared with a net loss of $528 million on revenue of about $4 billion a year earlier, the filing shows." Not only does the company lack a clear path to profitability given the xAI division, it is giving Musk permanent control through a special class of voting shares. This is poor corporate governance and should never be done. No man is infallible. It is a recipe for financial disaster as Musk's plans are completely unrealistic and unprofitable like a lunar base, a million orbital data centers, and a Mars colony.

Tiktok Disrupts Thai Subsea Cable Industry

Image
Tiktok is investing $25 billion in a Thai data center. They recently purchased over 4 terabits of Layer 1 capacity into Bangkok causing prices to skyrocket. I have located some spare capacity at the 10G and 100G level.   Appetizer ...  A point: Songkhla Cable Landing Station. Z point: SG1, Singapore.  Two diversely routed 10G waves.  Term: 3 years.  MRC per wave: $8.5K.

Pacific Subsea Cable Headaches: The Singapore/USA Route

Image
In the past most HK and Singapore traffic to the US was routed via Tokyo due to the lack of direct single cable links. So two cables were required to get to the American West Coast. The total 100G costs of two cable solutions were and are still today high with the range from the lower $30Ks to the low 40Ks. Obviously, the Tokyo routing latency penalty is also very high. It is possible to get 100G two cable solutions in the $20K range, but only a few 100Gs are available at that price point.  In recent years the hyperscalers have recognized that current routing raises cost per bit, latency, and makes Tokyo a single point of failure on their Pacific networks. As a result, new American Tech cables connect Singapore directly to San Jose Equinix or Los Angeles Coresite data centers. For example, META is the lead consortium partner on the new 12 fibre pair Bifrost cable that lands at Grover Beach, California, Rosarita, Mexico, and Winema, Oregon. Keppel owns several fibre pai...

Another AAE1 Special: Frankfurt/Singapore - $24K MRC

Image
A point: SG1. Z point: FR5. Term: 3 Years. Routing: Avoids Marseille and clocks 139 ms RTD. 

Bifrost Singapore/LA 100G Wave: $35K MRC

Image
 Term: 1 Year. NRC: $10K. Delivery: 8 to 10 weeks. A pt: SG1. Z pt: LA1. Remark: No Bifrost provider currently offers 10G waves.

Geography Is Destiny: Lessons For the EU Arctic Cable Aspirations

Image
The EU has given tens of millions of Euros in preliminary development funds to kick start an Arctic cable that would bypass North America and connect Northern Europe to Japan. There have been ongoing efforts for over a decade to execute such a project, the most recent incarnation is Polar Connect. The idea is to create a new, highly diverse and ultra-low latency route linking Europe to Asia that bypasses the politically unstable Middle East and the less-than-friendly and lukewarm American ally. Although there could be some Russian harassment due to concerns about the cable serving as a surveillance tool via sensors attached it, the path looks downright idyllic in terms of the political environment relative to the Middle East. However, a glance at the map shows the immense challenge. One of the unwritten rules of cable deployment is to avoid shallow waters. Most recently built cables head immediately from their landing points to deep sea as quickly as possible. Ships infe...

The Monster That Slays Arctic Subsea Cables: Icebergs

Image
There is one problem that no arctic cable advocate ever mentions, namely ice scouring. Neither NorduNet nor the Polar Connect team will ever mention this challenge. It is taboo. Here's the problem. Only 10% of an iceberg lies above sea's surface. Salt water is more dense than fresh water and fresh water ice. Hence icebergs are largely undersea and their tooth can extend as deep as 250 meters. In the shallow waters surrounding the Bering Strait the average depth is well under 60 meters. So the tooth or fang of a large iceberg can carve grooves in the sea bed ranging from 50 centimeters to 20 meters. While most ice gouges aare closer to 50 centimeters than 20 meters, deep groves have accumulated on the sea floor. Moreover, the measured depth is not necessarily the original depth of the groove due to sediment burial over time. An iceberg damaged the North Alaskan Quintillian cable in June 2023. It dug a groove 3 meters deep into the sea floor and severed the buried cable. The site...